Ottawa Senators
OTT · 30-25-4
5–3
FinalW
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 15-37-9
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
1801648532
SJS
012210115337
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–0
OTT 30-25-4 · SJS 15-37-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–0
Senators beat the Sharks
Chances were even (3.2 to 2.7 expected goals); the Senators won 5–3. The Sharks scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 2.7, on 32 and 37 shots on goal.
OTT 3.2 xG · 32 shots
SJS 2.7 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.8
2nd
1.6 · 1.0
3rd
0.8 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Shane Pinto · 1st 11:05 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 05:17 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Timothy Liljegren · 2nd 09:47 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 01:26 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Tim Stützle · 3rd 03:00 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
David Perron · 3rd 08:31 · 4–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
7
Will Smith · 3rd 18:33 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
8
Michael Amadio · 3rd 19:00 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 57.
OTT 57%SJS 43%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Shane Pinto · 1st 11:05 · SH · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 05:17 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Timothy Liljegren · 2nd 09:47 · PP · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 01:26 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Tim Stützle · 3rd 03:00 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
David Perron · 3rd 08:31 · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
7
Will Smith · 3rd 18:33 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
8
Michael Amadio · 3rd 19:00 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.