OTT
2–1
DET
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 33-25-5
2–1
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 30-28-6
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
091915223
DET
09027113149
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–1
OTT 33-25-5 · DET 30-28-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–1
Senators beat the Red Wings
The Senators were outchanced (4.9 to 2.4 expected goals) but won 2–1 anyway. Linus Ullmark stopped 3.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 4.9 expected goals to 2.4, on 49 and 23 shots on goal.
OTT 2.4 xG · 23 shots
DET 4.9 xG · 49 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.6 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
1.0 · 2.9
3rd
0.9 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
David Perron · 2nd 07:39 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 02:58 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 14:56 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 18.
OTT 18%DET 82%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
David Perron · 2nd 07:39 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 02:58 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 14:56 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
48/49 saves · 1 GA · 4.9 xGA
Stopped 3.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
