OTT
1–5
COL
Final · L
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 36-27-5
1–5
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 42-25-3
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
080414116
COL
41411207533
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–2
OTT 36-27-5 · COL 42-25-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–2
Senators fell to the Avalanche
The Senators were outchanced (2.5 to 1.9 expected goals) and lost 1–5. Linus Ullmark allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 1.9, on 33 and 16 shots on goal.
OTT 1.9 xG · 16 shots
COL 2.5 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
0.2 · 1.1
3rd
0.8 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 10:29 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Brock Nelson · 1st 11:28 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Cale Makar · 1st 14:23 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Joel Kiviranta · 1st 17:29 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Brock Nelson · 2nd 01:54 · 0–5 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 15:59 · 1–5 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 38.
OTT 38%COL 62%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 10:29 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Brock Nelson · 1st 11:28 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Cale Makar · 1st 14:23 · PP · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Joel Kiviranta · 1st 17:29 · 0–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Brock Nelson · 2nd 01:54 · PP · 0–5
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 15:59 · PP · 1–5
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
3
Jonathan Drouin, Valeri Nichushkin · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
0–3
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/20 saves · 1 GA · 1.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
9/13 saves · 4 GA · 1.0 xGA
Allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
