OTT
3–0
FLA
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 41-29-6
3–0
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 44-28-4
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
2705110322
FLA
012012015039
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–1
OTT 41-29-6 · FLA 44-28-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–1
Senators beat the Panthers
The Senators were outchanced (3.4 to 2.1 expected goals) but won 3–0 anyway. Anton Forsberg stopped 3.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.1, on 39 and 22 shots on goal.
OTT 2.1 xG · 22 shots
FLA 3.4 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.3
3rd
0.7 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jake Sanderson · 1st 11:21 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Drake Batherson · 1st 14:17 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3
· 3rd 17:40 · 3–0 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 30.
OTT 30%FLA 70%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jake Sanderson · 1st 11:21 · GWG · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Drake Batherson · 1st 14:17 · PP · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3
· 3rd 17:40 · EN · 3–0
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
39/39 saves · 0 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 3.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
