OTT
4–3
PHI
Final / OT · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 44-30-6
4–3
Final / OTW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 33-37-10
1ST2ND3RDOTT
OTT
06192911425
PHI
0821411000332
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–1
OTT 44-30-6 · PHI 33-37-10 · Meeting 3 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–1
Senators beat the Flyers
The Senators were outchanced (3.2 to 1.8 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Stützle's goal anyway. Ivan Fedotov allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.8, on 32 and 25 shots on goal.
OTT 1.8 xG · 25 shots
PHI 3.2 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
0.8 · 1.7
3rd
0.6 · 0.9
OT
0.1 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nicolas Deslauriers · 2nd 11:43 · 0–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (81%)
2
Tim Stützle · 2nd 12:36 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Noah Cates · 2nd 17:17 · 1–2 · wrap around shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
4
Fabian Zetterlund · 3rd 04:41 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Garnet Hathaway · 3rd 07:33 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Thomas Chabot · 3rd 12:54 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Tim Stützle · OT 01:40 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 27.
OTT 27%PHI 73%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Flyers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nicolas Deslauriers · 2nd 11:43 · 0–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (81%)
2
Tim Stützle · 2nd 12:36 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Noah Cates · 2nd 17:17 · 1–2
Wrap around shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
4
Fabian Zetterlund · 3rd 04:41 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Garnet Hathaway · 3rd 07:33 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Thomas Chabot · 3rd 12:54 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Tim Stützle · OT 01:40 · PP · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
