Ottawa Senators
OTT · 44-30-7
3–4
Final / OTL
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 25-46-11
1ST2ND3RDOTT
OTT
1152160600337
CHI
24150611416
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
OTT 44-30-7 · CHI 25-46-11 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Senators fell to the Blackhawks
The Senators created the better chances (2.7 to 1.5 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Nazar's goal. Anton Forsberg allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 1.5, on 37 and 16 shots on goal.
OTT 2.7 xG · 37 shots
CHI 1.5 xG · 16 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.2
2nd
0.9 · 0.6
3rd
0.4 · 0.6
OT
0.0 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor Bedard · 1st 01:28 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Joseph Veleno · 1st 06:13 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Nick Cousins · 1st 06:56 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Thomas Chabot · 2nd 01:19 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Connor Bedard · 2nd 02:24 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Drake Batherson · 2nd 15:06 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Frank Nazar · OT 00:48 · 3–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 73.
OTT 73%CHI 27%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor Bedard · 1st 01:28 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Joseph Veleno · 1st 06:13 · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Nick Cousins · 1st 06:56 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Thomas Chabot · 2nd 01:19 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Connor Bedard · 2nd 02:24 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Drake Batherson · 2nd 15:06 · PP · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Frank Nazar · OT 00:48 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
3
Dennis Gilbert, Nikolas Matinpalo · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–2
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
12/16 saves · 4 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.