Ottawa Senators
OTT · 45-30-7
7–5
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 47-30-5
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
31208412732
CAR
21431207533
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–1
OTT 45-30-7 · CAR 47-30-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–1
Senators beat the Hurricanes
Down 3–5 in the 2nd period, the Senators erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Batherson's equalizer — and won 7–5. Frederik Andersen allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 3.0, on 32 and 33 shots on goal.
OTT 4.4 xG · 32 shots
CAR 3.0 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.3 · 1.1
2nd
1.1 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
2.1 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adam Gaudette · 1st 11:55 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Cozens · 1st 16:35 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Shane Pinto · 1st 17:22 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 1st 17:33 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Skyler Brind'Amour · 1st 19:18 · 3–2 · bat shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 00:50 · 3–3 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Jack Roslovic · 2nd 04:05 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Tyson Jost · 2nd 06:32 · 3–5 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
9
Adam Gaudette · 3rd 04:17 · 4–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
10
Drake Batherson · 3rd 10:01 · 5–5 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
11
Drake Batherson · 3rd 13:38 · 6–5 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
12
Tim Stützle · 3rd 18:48 · 7–5 · wrist shot, a great chance (42%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 70.
OTT 70%CAR 30%
Goals and penalties
12 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adam Gaudette · 1st 11:55 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Cozens · 1st 16:35 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Shane Pinto · 1st 17:22 · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 1st 17:33 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Skyler Brind'Amour · 1st 19:18 · 3–2
Bat shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 00:50 · PP · 3–3
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Jack Roslovic · 2nd 04:05 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Tyson Jost · 2nd 06:32 · 3–5
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
9
Adam Gaudette · 3rd 04:17 · 4–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
10
Drake Batherson · 3rd 10:01 · 5–5
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
11
Drake Batherson · 3rd 13:38 · PP · GWG · 6–5
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
12
Tim Stützle · 3rd 18:48 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 7–5
Wrist shot, a great chance (42%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/33 saves · 5 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/32 saves · 7 GA · 4.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.