Ottawa Senators
OTT · 2-4-1
2–3
Final / OTL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 3-3-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
OTT
060112400221
EDM
161601013325
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
OTT 2-4-1 · EDM 3-3-1 · First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
Senators fell to the Oilers
The Senators were outchanced (2.3 to 1.5 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Walman's goal. The Oilers scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 2.3 expected goals to 1.5, on 25 and 21 shots on goal.
OTT 1.5 xG · 21 shots
EDM 2.3 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 0.7
2nd
0.9 · 0.6
3rd
0.2 · 0.7
OT
0.0 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 16:31 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Isaac Howard · 2nd 00:49 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 00:13 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Thomas Chabot · 3rd 01:49 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Jake Walman · OT 02:24 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 33.
OTT 33%EDM 67%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 6 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 16:31 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Isaac Howard · 2nd 00:49 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 00:13 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Thomas Chabot · 3rd 01:49 · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Jake Walman · OT 02:24 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:41
Darnell Nurse· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:51
Tim Stützle· Slashing
McDavid scored on this power play
Minor
1
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Evan Bouchard · Power play (Stützle, slashing) · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
0–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:41
Isaac Howard· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:27
Drake Batherson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:40
Darnell Nurse· Tripping
Cozens scored on this power play
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:25
Tim Stützle· Slashing
Killed
Minor
Overtime
Goaltending
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Senators went 1-for-3 on the power play and allowed 2 on 3 Oilers power plays.