Ottawa Senators
OTT · 8-5-3
4–2
FinalW
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 9-7-0
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
1529111425
UTA
1141908231
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
OTT 8-5-3 · UTA 9-7-0 · First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
Senators beat the Mammoth
Chances were even (3.4 to 3.4 expected goals); the Senators won 4–2. Leevi Meriläinen stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.4, on 25 and 31 shots on goal.
OTT 3.4 xG · 25 shots
UTA 3.4 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.3
2nd
1.3 · 1.0
3rd
1.5 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ridly Greig · 1st 13:59 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (34%)
2
Clayton Keller · 1st 17:33 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
3
Jordan Spence · 2nd 07:13 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Nick Cousins · 2nd 15:52 · 3–1 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Nick Schmaltz · 2nd 18:56 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (25%)
6
Michael Amadio · 3rd 03:46 · 4–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 50.
OTT 50%UTA 50%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ridly Greig · 1st 13:59 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (34%)
2
Clayton Keller · 1st 17:33 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
3
Jordan Spence · 2nd 07:13 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Nick Cousins · 2nd 15:52 · GWG · 3–1
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Nick Schmaltz · 2nd 18:56 · 3–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (25%)
6
Michael Amadio · 3rd 03:46 · 4–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.