OTT
2–3
BUF
Final / OT · L
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 18-13-5
2–3
Final / OTL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 18-14-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
OTT
111180700226
BUF
112180411325
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–2
OTT 18-13-5 · BUF 18-14-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–2
Senators fell to the Sabres
The Senators created the better chances (3.0 to 1.7 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Byram's goal. Linus Ullmark allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.7, on 26 and 25 shots on goal.
OTT 3.0 xG · 26 shots
BUF 1.7 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.8
2nd
0.7 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 0.1
OT
0.0 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bowen Byram · 1st 15:22 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Ridly Greig · 1st 17:13 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Noah Ostlund · 2nd 06:11 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Tim Stützle · 2nd 09:27 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Bowen Byram · OT 00:31 · 2–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 72.
OTT 72%BUF 28%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 6 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bowen Byram · 1st 15:22 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Ridly Greig · 1st 17:13 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Noah Ostlund · 2nd 06:11 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Tim Stützle · 2nd 09:27 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Bowen Byram · OT 00:31 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:12
Michael Kesselring· High-sticking
Michael Kesselring· High-sticking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:12
Brady Tkachuk· Roughing
Brady Tkachuk· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:36
Nikolas Matinpalo· Interference
Nikolas Matinpalo· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:13
Michael Kesselring· Tripping
Michael Kesselring· Tripping
Stützle scored on this power play
Minor
4
Drake Batherson, Dylan Cozens · Power play (Kesselring, tripping) · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:51
Zach Benson· High-sticking
Zach Benson· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:09
Alex Tuch· Hooking
Alex Tuch· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Overtime
Goaltending
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Senators went 1-for-3 on the power play and killed all 1 Sabres power play.