Ottawa Senators
OTT · 20-16-5
3–5
FinalL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 25-15-4
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
017210110337
DET
391913521
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
OTT 20-16-5 · DET 25-15-4 · First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
Senators fell to the Red Wings
The Senators created the better chances (4.1 to 2.1 expected goals) — and lost 3–5. Leevi Meriläinen allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 2.1, on 37 and 21 shots on goal.
OTT 4.1 xG · 37 shots
DET 2.1 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 0.9
2nd
1.2 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
1.6 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andrew Copp · 1st 07:06 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Dylan Larkin · 1st 13:51 · 0–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
3
James van Riemsdyk · 1st 19:43 · 0–3 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Claude Giroux · 2nd 07:33 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 14:10 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
6
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 15:42 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 06:55 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Michael Rasmussen · 3rd 12:53 · 3–5 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 79.
OTT 79%DET 21%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 11 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andrew Copp · 1st 07:06 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Dylan Larkin · 1st 13:51 · PP · 0–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
3
James van Riemsdyk · 1st 19:43 · 0–3
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Claude Giroux · 2nd 07:33 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 14:10 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
6
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 15:42 · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 06:55 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Michael Rasmussen · 3rd 12:53 · SH · 3–5
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:38
Marco Kasper· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:10
David Perron· Tripping
Larkin scored on this power play
Minor
2
James van Riemsdyk, Alex DeBrincat · Power play (Perron, tripping) · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
0–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:10
Ben Chiarot· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:18
Tyler Kleven· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:57
Michael Rasmussen· Tripping
Cozens scored on this power play
Minor
5
Jake Sanderson, Tim Stützle · Power play (Rasmussen, tripping) · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
2–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:14
Brady Tkachuk· Slashing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:34
Claude Giroux· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:03
Albert Johansson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:09
Jacob Bernard-Docker· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
13:16
Bench· Delaying game unsuccessful challenge
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:46
Simon Edvinsson· Elbowing
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
10/12 saves · 2 GA · 1.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
6/9 saves · 3 GA · 0.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Senators went 1-for-6 on the power play and allowed 1 on 5 Red Wings power plays.