Ottawa Senators
OTT · 26-21-7
4–1
FinalW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 28-25-2
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
19012313434
NJD
1110709127
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
OTT 26-21-7 · NJD 28-25-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Senators beat the Devils
The Senators earned it: 2.7 expected goals to 1.6, and a 4–1 win to show for it. The Senators scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 1.6, on 34 and 27 shots on goal.
OTT 2.7 xG · 34 shots
NJD 1.6 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.3
2nd · the swing
1.3 · 0.5
3rd
0.8 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 13:38 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Timo Meier · 1st 18:16 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 00:37 · 2–1 · deflected shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Tim Stützle · 3rd 17:53 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Shane Pinto · 3rd 18:41 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 70.
OTT 70%NJD 30%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 10 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 13:38 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Timo Meier · 1st 18:16 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 00:37 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Deflected shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Tim Stützle · 3rd 17:53 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Shane Pinto · 3rd 18:41 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:32
Tyler Kleven· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:01
Claude Giroux· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:24
Brett Pesce· Tripping
Tkachuk scored on this power play
Minor
1
Drake Batherson, Tim Stützle · Power play (Pesce, tripping) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:30
Dylan Cozens· Elbowing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:04
Johnathan Kovacevic· Slashing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:18
Jonas Siegenthaler· Hooking
Cozens scored on this power play
Minor
3
Brady Tkachuk, Jake Sanderson · Power play (Siegenthaler, hooking) · deflected shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:01
Thomas Chabot· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:41
Brenden Dillon· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:41
Dylan Cozens· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:00
Tyler Kleven· Interference
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 1.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Senators went 2-for-3 on the power play and killed all 5 Devils power plays.