Ottawa Senators
OTT · 34-23-9
7–4
FinalW
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 32-27-6
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
1631237725
SJS
2131614423
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–0
OTT 34-23-9 · SJS 32-27-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–0
Senators beat the Sharks
The Senators earned it: 2.5 expected goals to 1.7, and a 7–4 win to show for it. Laurent Brossoit allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 1.7, on 24 and 23 shots on goal.
OTT 2.5 xG · 24 shots
SJS 1.7 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.2 · 1.1
2nd
0.9 · 0.4
3rd
0.5 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mario Ferraro · 1st 04:05 · 0–1 · slap shot, a great chance (33%)
2
Drake Batherson · 1st 07:33 · 1–1
3
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 14:43 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Warren Foegele · 2nd 04:31 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Collin Graf · 2nd 10:46 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Fabian Zetterlund · 2nd 13:40 · 3–3 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Tyler Kleven · 2nd 14:45 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Michael Misa · 3rd 03:28 · 4–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Drake Batherson · 3rd 13:08 · 5–4 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
10
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 14:50 · 6–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
11
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 17:43 · 7–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 65.
OTT 65%SJS 35%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 5 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mario Ferraro · 1st 04:05 · 0–1
Slap shot, a great chance (33%)
2
Drake Batherson · 1st 07:33 · PP · 1–1
3
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 14:43 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Warren Foegele · 2nd 04:31 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Collin Graf · 2nd 10:46 · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Fabian Zetterlund · 2nd 13:40 · PP · 3–3
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Tyler Kleven · 2nd 14:45 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Michael Misa · 3rd 03:28 · 4–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Drake Batherson · 3rd 13:08 · GWG · 5–4
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
10
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 14:50 · 6–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
11
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 17:43 · EN · 7–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:42
Tim Stützle· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:17
John Klingberg· Interference
Batherson scored on this power play
Minor
3
Mario Ferraro, Shakir Mukhamadullin · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:19
Vincent Desharnais· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
5
Macklin Celebrini, Sam Dickinson · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:03
Dmitry Orlov· Hooking
Zetterlund scored on this power play
Minor
7
Fabian Zetterlund, Warren Foegele · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:58
Artem Zub· Roughing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Goaltending
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
18/23 saves · 5 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Senators went 2-for-3 on the power play and killed all 2 Sharks power plays.