OTT
3–2
NYI
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 35-24-9
3–2
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 39-25-5
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
0719211327
NYI
0711111219
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
OTT 35-24-9 · NYI 39-25-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Senators beat the Islanders
The Senators earned it: 2.0 expected goals to 1.5, and a 3–2 win to show for it. Tkachuk's winner came with 0:13 left.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 2.0 expected goals to 1.5, on 27 and 19 shots on goal.
OTT 2.0 xG · 27 shots
NYI 1.5 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.3 · 0.1
2nd
1.0 · 1.2
3rd
0.7 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matthew Schaefer · 2nd 04:45 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Shane Pinto · 2nd 10:27 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Brayden Schenn · 3rd 02:02 · 1–2 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Warren Foegele · 3rd 05:12 · 2–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
5
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 19:47 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 61.
OTT 61%NYI 39%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 10 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matthew Schaefer · 2nd 04:45 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Shane Pinto · 2nd 10:27 · SH · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Brayden Schenn · 3rd 02:02 · 1–2
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Warren Foegele · 3rd 05:12 · 2–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
5
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 19:47 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
1st period
PEN
5 min
Major
00:01
Brady Tkachuk· Fighting
Brady Tkachuk· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
00:01
Anders Lee· Fighting
Anders Lee· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
05:54
Brayden Schenn· Fighting
Brayden Schenn· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
05:54
Ridly Greig· Fighting
Ridly Greig· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:32
Dylan Cozens· Roughing
Dylan Cozens· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:11
Carson Soucy· Tripping
Carson Soucy· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:55
Nick Cousins· Delaying game puck over glass
Nick Cousins· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:50
Artem Zub· Cross-checking
Artem Zub· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:13
Bo Horvat· Holding
Bo Horvat· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:06
Lars Eller· Tripping
Lars Eller· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Goaltending
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 1.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Senators went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 4 Islanders power plays.