OTT
5–2
TOR
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 36-24-9
5–2
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 29-29-13
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
19220215544
TOR
061513214
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–1
OTT 36-24-9 · TOR 29-29-13 · Meeting 3 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–1
Senators beat the Maple Leafs
The Senators earned it: 5.3 expected goals to 1.9, and a 5–2 win to show for it. Joseph Woll allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 5.3 expected goals to 1.9, on 44 and 14 shots on goal.
OTT 5.3 xG · 44 shots
TOR 1.9 xG · 14 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
1.4 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
1.9 · 0.6
3rd
2.1 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tim Stützle · 1st 14:58 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Claude Giroux · 2nd 09:09 · 2–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Warren Foegele · 2nd 17:53 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
John Tavares · 2nd 18:14 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Easton Cowan · 3rd 04:52 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
6
Michael Amadio · 3rd 09:41 · 4–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
7
Ridly Greig · 3rd 13:11 · 5–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 90.
OTT 90%TOR 10%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 9 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tim Stützle · 1st 14:58 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Claude Giroux · 2nd 09:09 · 2–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Warren Foegele · 2nd 17:53 · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
John Tavares · 2nd 18:14 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Easton Cowan · 3rd 04:52 · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
6
Michael Amadio · 3rd 09:41 · 4–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
7
Ridly Greig · 3rd 13:11 · 5–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:30
Shane Pinto· Roughing
Shane Pinto· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:30
Max Domi· Roughing
Max Domi· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:27
Dennis Gilbert· Delaying game smothering puck
Dennis Gilbert· Delaying game smothering puck
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:00
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Boarding
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Boarding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:12
Matias Maccelli· Tripping
Matias Maccelli· Tripping
Stützle scored on this power play
Minor
1
Thomas Chabot, Drake Batherson · Power play (Maccelli, tripping) · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
1–0
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:07
Tim Stützle· Interference goalkeeper
Tim Stützle· Interference goalkeeper
Killed
Minor
2
Tyler Kleven, Jordan Spence · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:43
· Interference
· Interference
Killed
Minor
3
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:37
Michael Amadio· Hooking
Michael Amadio· Hooking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:07
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Tripping
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
12/14 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
39/44 saves · 5 GA · 3.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Senators went 1-for-4 on the power play and killed all 3 Maple Leafs power plays.