Ottawa Senators
OTT · 38-24-10
3–4
Final / SOL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 36-20-16
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
OTT
1101617060329
PIT
11111619041440
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–1
OTT 38-24-10 · PIT 36-20-16 · Meeting 3 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–1
Senators fell to the Penguins
Chances were even (4.3 to 4.6 expected goals); the Senators lost it in a shootout. The Penguins owned the 2nd period, 2.6 to 0.8 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 4.3 expected goals to 4.6, on 29 and 40 shots on goal.
OTT 4.3 xG · 29 shots
PIT 4.6 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.5 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
0.8 · 2.6
3rd
1.0 · 1.2
OT
1.0 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Drake Batherson · 1st 04:28 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Rickard Rakell · 1st 13:46 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Nick Cousins · 2nd 01:50 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Erik Karlsson · 2nd 03:45 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 01:43 · 2–3 · slap shot, a great chance (34%)
6
Drake Batherson · 3rd 03:58 · 3–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (71%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 45.
OTT 45%PIT 55%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 4 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Drake Batherson · 1st 04:28 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Rickard Rakell · 1st 13:46 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Nick Cousins · 2nd 01:50 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Erik Karlsson · 2nd 03:45 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 01:43 · PP · 2–3
Slap shot, a great chance (34%)
6
Drake Batherson · 3rd 03:58 · 3–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (71%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:29
Erik Karlsson· Tripping
Batherson scored on this power play
Minor
1
Brady Tkachuk, Tim Stützle · Power play (Karlsson, tripping) · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
1–0
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:49
Dylan Cozens· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:22
Artem Zub· Delaying game puck over glass
Rakell scored on this power play
Minor
5
Erik Karlsson, Bryan Rust · Power play (Zub, delaying game puck over glass) · slap shot, a great chance (34%)
2–3
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
03:58
Bench· Delaying game unsuccessful challenge
Killed
Bench minor
Shootout
1
Drake Batherson
Goal
2
Rickard Rakell
Save
3
Tim Stützle
Save
4
Egor Chinakhov
Goal
5
Shane Pinto
Save
6
Ben Kindel
Goal
Goaltending
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Senators went 1-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Penguins power plays.