OTT
4–1
BUF
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 39-26-10
4–1
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 46-22-8
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
0418312424
BUF
061907122
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Senators trail the season series 1–2
OTT 39-26-10 · BUF 46-22-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Senators trail the season series 1–2
Senators beat the Sabres
Chances were even (2.3 to 1.8 expected goals); the Senators won 4–1. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 1.8, on 24 and 22 shots on goal.
OTT 2.3 xG · 24 shots
BUF 1.8 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.1 · 0.8
2nd
0.9 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mattias Samuelsson · 2nd 08:49 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 15:18 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Lars Eller · 3rd 05:55 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Ridly Greig · 3rd 17:42 · 3–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Shane Pinto · 3rd 18:42 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 58.
OTT 58%BUF 42%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 7 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mattias Samuelsson · 2nd 08:49 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 15:18 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Lars Eller · 3rd 05:55 · GWG · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Ridly Greig · 3rd 17:42 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Shane Pinto · 3rd 18:42 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:39
Zach Benson· Holding
Zach Benson· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:59
Brady Tkachuk· Slashing
Brady Tkachuk· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:36
Jordan Spence· Interference
Jordan Spence· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
17:09
Logan Stanley· Fighting
Logan Stanley· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
17:09
Brady Tkachuk· Fighting
Brady Tkachuk· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:01
Ryan McLeod· Cross-checking
Ryan McLeod· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
18:42
Josh Norris· Abuse of officials
Josh Norris· Abuse of officials
Misconduct
Goaltending
21/22 saves · 1 GA · 1.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Senators went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 2 Sabres power plays.