Ottawa Senators
OTT · 40-27-10
6–3
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 49-22-6
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
21511036631
CAR
2130916328
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Senators trail the season series 1–2
OTT 40-27-10 · CAR 49-22-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Senators trail the season series 1–2
Senators beat the Hurricanes
The Senators earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 1.9, and a 6–3 win to show for it. The Senators scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 1.9, on 31 and 28 shots on goal.
OTT 3.6 xG · 31 shots
CAR 1.9 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.9 · 1.2
2nd
0.9 · 0.4
3rd
0.8 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Logan Stankoven · 1st 05:22 · 0–1 · snap shot, a great chance (30%)
2
Dylan Cozens · 1st 07:17 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (70%)
3
Tim Stützle · 1st 08:51 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 19:40 · 2–2 · poke shot, a great chance (49%)
5
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 08:33 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Shane Pinto · 3rd 02:50 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 06:32 · 5–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Taylor Hall · 3rd 17:30 · 5–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
9
Claude Giroux · 3rd 19:03 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 77.
OTT 77%CAR 23%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 4 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Logan Stankoven · 1st 05:22 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a great chance (30%)
2
Dylan Cozens · 1st 07:17 · PP · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (70%)
3
Tim Stützle · 1st 08:51 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 19:40 · 2–2
Poke shot, a great chance (49%)
5
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 08:33 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Shane Pinto · 3rd 02:50 · PP · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 06:32 · 5–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Taylor Hall · 3rd 17:30 · 5–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
9
Claude Giroux · 3rd 19:03 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:03
Jordan Spence· Holding
Stankoven scored on this power play
Minor
1
Nikolaj Ehlers, Jackson Blake · Power play (Spence, holding) · snap shot, a great chance (30%)
0–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:22
Andrei Svechnikov· Slashing
Cozens scored on this power play
Minor
2
Tim Stützle, Drake Batherson · Power play (Svechnikov, slashing) · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (70%)
1–1
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:24
Nick Cousins· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:59
Andrei Svechnikov· Slashing
Pinto scored on this power play
Minor
7
Ridly Greig, Dylan Cozens · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5–2
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/30 saves · 5 GA · 4.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Senators went 2-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Hurricanes power plays.