OTT
6–2
TBL
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 41-27-10
6–2
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 48-24-6
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
07112513632
TBL
01117112230
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–1
OTT 41-27-10 · TBL 48-24-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–1
Senators beat the Lightning
The Senators earned it: 5.8 expected goals to 1.1, and a 6–2 win to show for it. Jonas Johansson allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 5.8 expected goals to 1.1, on 32 and 30 shots on goal.
OTT 5.8 xG · 32 shots
TBL 1.1 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
1.8 · 0.3
2nd
1.5 · 0.3
3rd · the swing
2.5 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jordan Spence · 2nd 15:46 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Nick Paul · 2nd 18:23 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Fabian Zetterlund · 3rd 02:45 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Jake Sanderson · 3rd 04:39 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (43%)
5
Corey Perry · 3rd 10:35 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Tim Stützle · 3rd 12:51 · 4–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
7
Jake Sanderson · 3rd 13:04 · 5–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (51%)
8
Shane Pinto · 3rd 16:41 · 6–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 97.
OTT 97%TBL 3%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 7 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jordan Spence · 2nd 15:46 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Nick Paul · 2nd 18:23 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Fabian Zetterlund · 3rd 02:45 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Jake Sanderson · 3rd 04:39 · GWG · 3–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (43%)
5
Corey Perry · 3rd 10:35 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Tim Stützle · 3rd 12:51 · PP · 4–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
7
Jake Sanderson · 3rd 13:04 · PP · 5–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (51%)
8
Shane Pinto · 3rd 16:41 · EN · 6–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:49
Tim Stützle· Slashing
Tim Stützle· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:49
Charle-Edouard D'Astous· Cross-checking
Charle-Edouard D'Astous· Cross-checking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:33
Conor Geekie· Cross-checking
Conor Geekie· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:15
Tim Stützle· Tripping
Tim Stützle· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:32
Yanni Gourde· Holding the stick
Yanni Gourde· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
6
Dylan Cozens, Drake Batherson · Power play (delaying game unsuccessful challenge) · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
4–2
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
12:51
Bench· Delaying game unsuccessful challenge
Bench· Delaying game unsuccessful challenge
Stützle scored on this power play
Bench minor
7
Brady Tkachuk, Drake Batherson · Power play (delaying game unsuccessful challenge) · backhand shot, a great chance (51%)
5–2
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
15:40
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
Goaltending
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/31 saves · 5 GA · 3.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Senators went 2-for-3 on the power play and killed all 2 Lightning power plays.