Ottawa Senators
OTT · 42-27-10
5–1
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 37-38-4
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
2805313526
FLA
0508110123
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Senators trail the season series 1–3
OTT 42-27-10 · FLA 37-38-4 · Meeting 4 this season — the Senators trail the season series 1–3
Senators beat the Panthers
Chances were even (2.1 to 2.0 expected goals); the Senators won 5–1. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.1 expected goals to 2.0, on 26 and 23 shots on goal.
OTT 2.1 xG · 26 shots
FLA 2.0 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.8 · 0.3
2nd
0.3 · 1.0
3rd
1.0 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Drake Batherson · 1st 06:49 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Fabian Zetterlund · 1st 17:00 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Artem Zub · 3rd 03:03 · 3–0 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Jesper Boqvist · 3rd 14:17 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Claude Giroux · 3rd 16:43 · 4–1 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
6
Fabian Zetterlund · 3rd 17:02 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 52.
OTT 52%FLA 48%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 2 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Drake Batherson · 1st 06:49 · PP · 1–0
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Fabian Zetterlund · 1st 17:00 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Artem Zub · 3rd 03:03 · 3–0
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Jesper Boqvist · 3rd 14:17 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Claude Giroux · 3rd 16:43 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
6
Fabian Zetterlund · 3rd 17:02 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:53
Gustav Forsling· Tripping
Batherson scored on this power play
Minor
1
Jake Sanderson, Brady Tkachuk · Power play (Forsling, tripping) · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:18
Brady Tkachuk· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
Goaltending
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 1.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Senators went 1-for-1 on the power play and killed all 1 Panthers power play.