OTT
3–1
TOR
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 44-27-11
3–1
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 32-36-14
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
114112112338
TOR
060618120
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Senators lead the season series 3–1
OTT 44-27-11 · TOR 32-36-14 · Meeting 4 this season — the Senators lead the season series 3–1
Senators beat the Maple Leafs
The Senators earned it: 2.4 expected goals to 1.4, and a 3–1 win to show for it. Dennis Hildeby stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 2.4 expected goals to 1.4, on 38 and 20 shots on goal.
OTT 2.4 xG · 38 shots
TOR 1.4 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
1st · the swing
1.2 · 0.2
2nd
0.6 · 0.5
3rd
0.6 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Drake Batherson · 1st 06:04 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Warren Foegele · 2nd 18:32 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · 3rd 08:11 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 19:54 · 3–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 69.
OTT 69%TOR 31%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 5 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Drake Batherson · 1st 06:04 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Warren Foegele · 2nd 18:32 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · 3rd 08:11 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 19:54 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:44
Luke Haymes· Tripping
Luke Haymes· Tripping
Batherson scored on this power play
Minor
1
Claude Giroux, Jordan Spence · Power play (Haymes, tripping) · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:53
Artem Zub· Holding
Artem Zub· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:51
Ridly Greig· Hooking
Ridly Greig· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:38
Easton Cowan· Holding
Easton Cowan· Holding
Foegele scored on this power play
Minor
2
Lassi Thomson, Fabian Zetterlund · Power play (Cowan, holding) · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:37
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Cross-checking
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Goaltending
19/20 saves · 1 GA · 1.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
35/37 saves · 2 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Senators went 2-for-3 on the power play and killed all 2 Maple Leafs power plays.