OTT
2–4
CAR
Final · L
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 0-4
2–4
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 4-0
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
0811019227
CAR
0719314430
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Senators trail the series 0–4
OTT 0-4 · CAR 4-0 · Game 4 — the Senators trail the series 0–4
Senators fell to the Hurricanes
Chances were even (3.4 to 3.1 expected goals); the Senators lost 2–4.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.1, on 27 and 30 shots on goal.
OTT 3.4 xG · 27 shots
CAR 3.1 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.2 · 1.0
2nd
1.6 · 0.8
3rd
1.6 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Taylor Hall · 2nd 15:15 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Drake Batherson · 2nd 17:08 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Logan Stankoven · 3rd 09:10 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
4
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 17:38 · 1–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 18:11 · 2–3 · slap shot, a great chance (35%)
6
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 18:45 · 2–4 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 55.
OTT 55%CAR 45%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 18 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Taylor Hall · 2nd 15:15 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Drake Batherson · 2nd 17:08 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Logan Stankoven · 3rd 09:10 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
4
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 17:38 · EN · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 18:11 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–3
Slap shot, a great chance (35%)
6
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 18:45 · EN · 2–4
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:11
Nikolas Matinpalo· Closing hand on puck
Nikolas Matinpalo· Closing hand on puck
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:30
Sean Walker· Hooking
Sean Walker· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:57
Sebastian Aho· Hooking
Sebastian Aho· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:31
Drake Batherson· Hooking
Drake Batherson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:35
Andrei Svechnikov· Roughing
Andrei Svechnikov· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:35
Andrei Svechnikov· Roughing
Andrei Svechnikov· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:35
Jordan Spence· Roughing
Jordan Spence· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:12
Ridly Greig· Interference goalkeeper
Ridly Greig· Interference goalkeeper
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:50
Nicolas Deslauriers· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Nicolas Deslauriers· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:50
Nicolas Deslauriers· Roughing
Nicolas Deslauriers· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:50
Brady Tkachuk· Roughing
Brady Tkachuk· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:38
Jordan Staal· Tripping
Jordan Staal· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:33
Sean Walker· High-sticking
Sean Walker· High-sticking
Batherson scored on this power play
Minor
2
Tim Stützle, Carter Yakemchuk · Power play (Walker, high-sticking) · tip in shot, a good chance (20%)
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:21
Sean Walker· Boarding
Sean Walker· Boarding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:56
Eric Robinson· High-sticking
Eric Robinson· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:47
Thomas Chabot· Slashing
Thomas Chabot· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:20
Tyler Kleven· Holding
Tyler Kleven· Holding
Stankoven scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
13:54
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Senators went 1-for-7 on the power play and allowed 1 on 5 Hurricanes power plays.