Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 25-46-11
2–4
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 33-42-7
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
11106117234
OTT
011113312436
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 1–2
PHI 25-46-11 · OTT 33-42-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 1–2
Flyers fell to the Senators
Chances were even (3.9 to 3.6 expected goals); the Flyers lost 2–4. Anton Forsberg stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.9 expected goals to 3.6, on 34 and 36 shots on goal.
PHI 3.9 xG · 34 shots
OTT 3.6 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 1.4
2nd
0.6 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
2.2 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
James van Riemsdyk · 1st 18:31 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Josh Norris · 2nd 11:51 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Travis Hamonic · 3rd 01:56 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Owen Tippett · 3rd 12:33 · 2–2 · slap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 16:38 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
· 3rd 18:15 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 55.
PHI 55%OTT 45%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
James van Riemsdyk · 1st 18:31 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Josh Norris · 2nd 11:51 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Travis Hamonic · 3rd 01:56 · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Owen Tippett · 3rd 12:33 · PP · 2–2
Slap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 16:38 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
· 3rd 18:15 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.