Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 5-2-0
4–3
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 4-3-1
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
292805422
FLA
219011121351
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
PHI 5-2-0 · FLA 4-3-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flyers beat the Panthers
The Flyers were outchanced (5.2 to 1.8 expected goals) but won 4–3 anyway. Carter Hart stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 5.2 expected goals to 1.8, on 51 and 22 shots on goal.
PHI 1.8 xG · 22 shots
FLA 5.2 xG · 51 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.5 · 1.7
2nd
0.8 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 2.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Gustav Forsling · 1st 03:41 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Tony DeAngelo · 1st 06:41 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Josh Mahura · 1st 07:58 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
4
Scott Laughton · 1st 15:28 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Zack MacEwen · 2nd 10:17 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Joel Farabee · 2nd 11:29 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
7
Brandon Montour · 3rd 00:36 · 4–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 10.
PHI 10%FLA 90%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Gustav Forsling · 1st 03:41 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Tony DeAngelo · 1st 06:41 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Josh Mahura · 1st 07:58 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
4
Scott Laughton · 1st 15:28 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Zack MacEwen · 2nd 10:17 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Joel Farabee · 2nd 11:29 · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
7
Brandon Montour · 3rd 00:36 · PP · 4–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
1st period
1
Aleksander Barkov, Carter Verhaeghe · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
5
Nick Seeler, Nicolas Deslauriers · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
48/51 saves · 3 GA · 5.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/22 saves · 4 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.