Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 5-2-1
3–4
Final / OTL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 5-2-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
PHI
092811002329
CAR
2120111916438
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–1
PHI 5-2-1 · CAR 5-2-1 · First meeting this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–1
Flyers fell to the Hurricanes
The Flyers were outchanced (4.0 to 2.9 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Burns's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.9, on 38 and 29 shots on goal.
PHI 2.9 xG · 29 shots
CAR 4.0 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.7 · 1.5
2nd
0.9 · 1.4
3rd
1.1 · 0.5
OT
0.2 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jordan Staal · 1st 05:27 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Jordan Martinook · 1st 15:04 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Nicolas Deslauriers · 2nd 05:14 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Owen Tippett · 2nd 07:18 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Wade Allison · 3rd 06:09 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Martin Necas · 3rd 17:55 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Brent Burns · OT 04:06 · 3–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 34.
PHI 34%CAR 66%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jordan Staal · 1st 05:27 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Jordan Martinook · 1st 15:04 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Nicolas Deslauriers · 2nd 05:14 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Owen Tippett · 2nd 07:18 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Wade Allison · 3rd 06:09 · 3–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Martin Necas · 3rd 17:55 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Brent Burns · OT 04:06 · GWG · 3–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
34/38 saves · 4 GA · 4.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.