Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 7-5-2
1–4
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 5-8-1
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
11701308138
OTT
1918210427
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
PHI 7-5-2 · OTT 5-8-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flyers fell to the Senators
The Flyers created the better chances (2.3 to 1.7 expected goals) — and lost 1–4. Carter Hart allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 2.3 expected goals to 1.7, on 38 and 27 shots on goal.
PHI 2.3 xG · 38 shots
OTT 1.7 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
1st · the swing
1.1 · 0.4
2nd
0.7 · 0.7
3rd
0.5 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kevin Hayes · 1st 06:05 · 1–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
2
Thomas Chabot · 1st 14:28 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 19:11 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 06:52 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Tim Stützle · 3rd 16:06 · 1–4 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 61.
PHI 61%OTT 39%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kevin Hayes · 1st 06:05 · 1–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
2
Thomas Chabot · 1st 14:28 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 19:11 · PP · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 06:52 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Tim Stützle · 3rd 16:06 · EN · 1–4
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
37/38 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.