PHI
1–5
DAL
Final · L
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 7-6-2
1–5
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 9-5-1
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
012112014138
DAL
21219210531
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–1
PHI 7-6-2 · DAL 9-5-1 · First meeting this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–1
Flyers fell to the Stars
Chances were even (3.2 to 3.5 expected goals); the Flyers lost 1–5. Jake Oettinger stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.5, on 38 and 31 shots on goal.
PHI 3.2 xG · 38 shots
DAL 3.5 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.9
2nd
1.2 · 1.4
3rd
1.2 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 02:36 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Esa Lindell · 1st 18:24 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Travis Konecny · 2nd 00:54 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 09:06 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Luke Glendening · 3rd 00:57 · 1–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Jason Robertson · 3rd 10:59 · 1–5 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 46.
PHI 46%DAL 54%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 02:36 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Esa Lindell · 1st 18:24 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Travis Konecny · 2nd 00:54 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 09:06 · PP · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Luke Glendening · 3rd 00:57 · SH · 1–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Jason Robertson · 3rd 10:59 · PP · 1–5
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/31 saves · 5 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
37/38 saves · 1 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
