Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 9-12-5
5–3
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 13-9-1
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
211112211534
COL
11505212332
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flyers lead the season series 1–0
PHI 9-12-5 · COL 13-9-1 · First meeting this season — the Flyers lead the season series 1–0
Flyers beat the Avalanche
The Flyers were outchanced (2.9 to 1.9 expected goals) but won 5–3 anyway. Alexandar Georgiev allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 1.9, on 32 and 34 shots on goal.
PHI 1.9 xG · 34 shots
COL 2.9 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.5 · 1.7
2nd
0.6 · 0.4
3rd
0.8 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Newhook · 1st 03:50 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Travis Sanheim · 1st 07:29 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Tanner Laczynski · 1st 18:05 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
4
Tony DeAngelo · 2nd 03:59 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Owen Tippett · 3rd 09:54 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 17:47 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Alex Newhook · 3rd 18:23 · 4–3 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
8
Travis Konecny · 3rd 19:00 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 33.
PHI 33%COL 67%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Newhook · 1st 03:50 · PP · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Travis Sanheim · 1st 07:29 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Tanner Laczynski · 1st 18:05 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
4
Tony DeAngelo · 2nd 03:59 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Owen Tippett · 3rd 09:54 · PP · GWG · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 17:47 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Alex Newhook · 3rd 18:23 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
8
Travis Konecny · 3rd 19:00 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.