PHI
2–6
TOR
Final · L
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 15-18-7
2–6
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 25-9-7
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
111114011236
TOR
212312111635
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–3
PHI 15-18-7 · TOR 25-9-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–3
Flyers fell to the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (3.2 to 3.0 expected goals); the Flyers lost 2–6. Carter Hart allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.0, on 36 and 35 shots on goal.
PHI 3.2 xG · 36 shots
TOR 3.0 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 1.1
2nd
1.1 · 1.0
3rd
1.1 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Calle Jarnkrok · 1st 09:51 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
· 1st 17:44 · 0–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
3
Travis Konecny · 1st 18:00 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Conor Timmins · 2nd 07:01 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Nicolas Deslauriers · 2nd 08:50 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Timothy Liljegren · 2nd 10:07 · 2–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
John Tavares · 2nd 12:22 · 2–5 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
8
Auston Matthews · 3rd 13:13 · 2–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 52.
PHI 52%TOR 48%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Calle Jarnkrok · 1st 09:51 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
· 1st 17:44 · 0–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
3
Travis Konecny · 1st 18:00 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Conor Timmins · 2nd 07:01 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Nicolas Deslauriers · 2nd 08:50 · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Timothy Liljegren · 2nd 10:07 · SH · 2–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
John Tavares · 2nd 12:22 · 2–5
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
8
Auston Matthews · 3rd 13:13 · PP · 2–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/35 saves · 6 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
