PHI
5–2
BUF
Final · W
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 25-32-11
5–2
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 33-29-6
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
1631214522
BUF
0809221238
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flyers lead the season series 2–0
PHI 25-32-11 · BUF 33-29-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flyers lead the season series 2–0
Flyers beat the Sabres
The Flyers were outchanced (3.2 to 2.3 expected goals) but won 5–2 anyway. Craig Anderson allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.3, on 38 and 22 shots on goal.
PHI 2.3 xG · 22 shots
BUF 3.2 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.8
2nd
1.4 · 0.4
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 2.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Owen Tippett · 1st 15:10 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Joel Farabee · 2nd 03:53 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Owen Tippett · 2nd 13:14 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
James van Riemsdyk · 2nd 18:21 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 02:27 · 4–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Owen Tippett · 3rd 05:33 · 5–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 19:59 · 5–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 35.
PHI 35%BUF 65%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Owen Tippett · 1st 15:10 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Joel Farabee · 2nd 03:53 · 2–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Owen Tippett · 2nd 13:14 · GWG · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
James van Riemsdyk · 2nd 18:21 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 02:27 · PP · 4–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Owen Tippett · 3rd 05:33 · 5–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 19:59 · PP · 5–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
36/38 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/22 saves · 5 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
