PHI
4–5
CAR
Final / OT · L
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 25-32-12
4–5
Final / OTL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 45-15-8
1ST2ND3RDOTT
PHI
0821321200433
CAR
2121411711534
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–4
PHI 25-32-12 · CAR 45-15-8 · Meeting 4 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–4
Flyers fell to the Hurricanes
Chances were even (3.5 to 3.7 expected goals); the Flyers lost it in overtime on Aho's goal. Felix Sandstrom allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.5 expected goals to 3.7, on 33 and 34 shots on goal.
PHI 3.5 xG · 33 shots
CAR 3.7 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.5
3rd
1.4 · 1.8
OT
0.0 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sebastian Aho · 1st 14:52 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Brady Skjei · 1st 16:51 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Tyson Foerster · 2nd 04:56 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 13:55 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Noah Cates · 2nd 18:18 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
6
Joel Farabee · 3rd 03:33 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Brendan Lemieux · 3rd 05:50 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
8
Martin Necas · 3rd 19:59 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (59%)
9
Sebastian Aho · OT 00:28 · 4–5 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 47.
PHI 47%CAR 53%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sebastian Aho · 1st 14:52 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Brady Skjei · 1st 16:51 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Tyson Foerster · 2nd 04:56 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 13:55 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Noah Cates · 2nd 18:18 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
6
Joel Farabee · 3rd 03:33 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Brendan Lemieux · 3rd 05:50 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
8
Martin Necas · 3rd 19:59 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (59%)
9
Sebastian Aho · OT 00:28 · GWG · 4–5
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
29/34 saves · 5 GA · 3.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
