Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 26-32-12
6–3
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 36-28-7
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
11041113624
FLA
11919116344
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Flyers lead the season series 2–1
PHI 26-32-12 · FLA 36-28-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Flyers lead the season series 2–1
Flyers beat the Panthers
The Flyers were outchanced (4.6 to 2.9 expected goals) but won 6–3 anyway. Alex Lyon allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 2.9, on 44 and 24 shots on goal.
PHI 2.9 xG · 24 shots
FLA 4.6 xG · 44 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.0 · 1.9
2nd
1.5 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 2.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 01:15 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Joel Farabee · 1st 04:43 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Travis Sanheim · 2nd 08:42 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Brandon Montour · 2nd 14:17 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Scott Laughton · 2nd 16:54 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Travis Sanheim · 2nd 18:05 · 4–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
7
Ivan Provorov · 2nd 18:55 · 5–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 13:49 · 5–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
9
Morgan Frost · 3rd 17:59 · 6–3 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 27.
PHI 27%FLA 73%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 01:15 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Joel Farabee · 1st 04:43 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Travis Sanheim · 2nd 08:42 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Brandon Montour · 2nd 14:17 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Scott Laughton · 2nd 16:54 · 3–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Travis Sanheim · 2nd 18:05 · GWG · 4–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
7
Ivan Provorov · 2nd 18:55 · 5–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 13:49 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
9
Morgan Frost · 3rd 17:59 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
41/44 saves · 3 GA · 4.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/23 saves · 5 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.