PHI
3–6
BUF
Final · L
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 29-33-13
3–6
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 37-31-7
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
114117111342
BUF
1541717629
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Flyers lead the season series 2–1
PHI 29-33-13 · BUF 37-31-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Flyers lead the season series 2–1
Flyers fell to the Sabres
Chances were even (2.7 to 3.0 expected goals); the Flyers lost 3–6. Felix Sandstrom allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 3.0, on 42 and 29 shots on goal.
PHI 2.7 xG · 42 shots
BUF 3.0 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.7
2nd
0.9 · 1.6
3rd
0.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Morgan Frost · 1st 16:35 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Kyle Okposo · 1st 19:50 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Alex Tuch · 2nd 01:25 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Jordan Greenway · 2nd 02:40 · 1–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
5
· 2nd 03:46 · 1–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
6
Alex Tuch · 2nd 16:02 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Morgan Frost · 2nd 16:24 · 2–5 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Travis Konecny · 3rd 05:11 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
9
Alex Tuch · 3rd 16:33 · 3–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 46.
PHI 46%BUF 54%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Morgan Frost · 1st 16:35 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Kyle Okposo · 1st 19:50 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Alex Tuch · 2nd 01:25 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Jordan Greenway · 2nd 02:40 · 1–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
5
· 2nd 03:46 · GWG · 1–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
6
Alex Tuch · 2nd 16:02 · 1–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Morgan Frost · 2nd 16:24 · 2–5
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Travis Konecny · 3rd 05:11 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
9
Alex Tuch · 3rd 16:33 · SH · 3–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/29 saves · 6 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
39/42 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
