PHI
2–5
BUF
Final · L
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 4-5-1
2–5
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 5-5-0
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
210010020240
BUF
270434515
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–1
PHI 4-5-1 · BUF 5-5-0 · First meeting this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–1
Flyers fell to the Sabres
The Flyers created the better chances (3.2 to 1.5 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Carter Hart allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.5, on 40 and 15 shots on goal.
PHI 3.2 xG · 40 shots
BUF 1.5 xG · 15 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.8
2nd
0.8 · 0.3
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Joel Farabee · 1st 00:55 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Casey Mittelstadt · 1st 03:38 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Brandon Biro · 1st 10:00 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Cam Atkinson · 1st 16:17 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Owen Power · 3rd 03:03 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Tage Thompson · 3rd 13:28 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Brandon Biro · 3rd 16:52 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 78.
PHI 78%BUF 22%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Joel Farabee · 1st 00:55 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Casey Mittelstadt · 1st 03:38 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Brandon Biro · 1st 10:00 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Cam Atkinson · 1st 16:17 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Owen Power · 3rd 03:03 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Tage Thompson · 3rd 13:28 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Brandon Biro · 3rd 16:52 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
7/9 saves · 2 GA · 0.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
3/5 saves · 2 GA · 0.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
