Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 9-7-1
4–3
Final / OTW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 13-3-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
PHI
1162160511438
VGK
0831301000331
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
PHI 9-7-1 · VGK 13-3-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flyers beat the Golden Knights
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.8 expected goals); the Flyers won it in overtime on Couturier's goal. Logan Thompson allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.8, on 38 and 31 shots on goal.
PHI 2.5 xG · 38 shots
VGK 2.8 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.9
2nd
1.1 · 1.0
3rd
0.2 · 0.6
OT
0.3 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Owen Tippett · 1st 15:29 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Tyson Foerster · 2nd 00:59 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
William Karlsson · 2nd 04:01 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 15:00 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Sean Walker · 2nd 15:25 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 19:05 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Sean Couturier · OT 01:00 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 45.
PHI 45%VGK 55%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Owen Tippett · 1st 15:29 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Tyson Foerster · 2nd 00:59 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
William Karlsson · 2nd 04:01 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 15:00 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Sean Walker · 2nd 15:25 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 19:05 · PP · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Sean Couturier · OT 01:00 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
34/38 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.