PHI
3–4
NJD
Final / OT · L
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 11-10-2
3–4
Final / OTL
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 11-9-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
PHI
0812521400347
NJD
2701611111435
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–1
PHI 11-10-2 · NJD 11-9-1 · First meeting this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–1
Flyers fell to the Devils
The Flyers were outchanced (4.1 to 3.5 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Hughes's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Devils created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 3.5, on 35 and 47 shots on goal.
PHI 3.5 xG · 47 shots
NJD 4.1 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 1.0
2nd
1.8 · 1.8
3rd
1.3 · 1.1
OT
0.0 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alexander Holtz · 1st 03:10 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Jack Hughes · 1st 15:12 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Morgan Frost · 2nd 11:49 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
4
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 04:31 · 1–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
5
Tyson Foerster · 3rd 15:00 · 2–3 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Tyson Foerster · 3rd 19:09 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Luke Hughes · OT 00:28 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 42.
PHI 42%NJD 58%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Devils shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alexander Holtz · 1st 03:10 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Jack Hughes · 1st 15:12 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Morgan Frost · 2nd 11:49 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
4
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 04:31 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
5
Tyson Foerster · 3rd 15:00 · 2–3
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Tyson Foerster · 3rd 19:09 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Luke Hughes · OT 00:28 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 4.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
44/47 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
