PHI
4–3
WSH
Final / SO · W
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 16-10-3
4–3
Final / SOW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 14-8-4
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
PHI
02114213031432
WSH
0721118040330
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flyers lead the season series 1–0
PHI 16-10-3 · WSH 14-8-4 · First meeting this season — the Flyers lead the season series 1–0
Flyers beat the Capitals
Chances were even (3.4 to 3.2 expected goals); the Flyers won it in a shootout.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.2, on 32 and 30 shots on goal.
PHI 3.4 xG · 32 shots
WSH 3.2 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.2 · 0.5
2nd
1.3 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.7
OT
0.5 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bobby Brink · 2nd 02:14 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
2
Connor McMichael · 2nd 03:00 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Tom Wilson · 2nd 15:29 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (48%)
4
Joel Farabee · 3rd 05:25 · 2–2 · wrap around shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Dylan Strome · 3rd 09:05 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Owen Tippett · 3rd 17:01 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 53.
PHI 53%WSH 47%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bobby Brink · 2nd 02:14 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
2
Connor McMichael · 2nd 03:00 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Tom Wilson · 2nd 15:29 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (48%)
4
Joel Farabee · 3rd 05:25 · 2–2
Wrap around shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Dylan Strome · 3rd 09:05 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Owen Tippett · 3rd 17:01 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Flyers
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
