PHI
2–4
NSH
Final · L
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 18-11-3
2–4
FinalL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 19-14-0
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
11311305231
NSH
0929213431
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–2
PHI 18-11-3 · NSH 19-14-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–2
Flyers fell to the Predators
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.8 expected goals); the Flyers lost 2–4. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.8, on 31 and 31 shots on goal.
PHI 2.9 xG · 31 shots
NSH 2.8 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.2 · 0.4
2nd
1.0 · 1.4
3rd
0.7 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Morgan Frost · 1st 01:31 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Cole Smith · 2nd 01:05 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Sean Couturier · 2nd 04:45 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Philip Tomasino · 2nd 05:24 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Philip Tomasino · 3rd 15:59 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Gustav Nyquist · 3rd 19:59 · 2–4 · poke shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 52.
PHI 52%NSH 48%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Morgan Frost · 1st 01:31 · 1–0
Deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Cole Smith · 2nd 01:05 · SH · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Sean Couturier · 2nd 04:45 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Philip Tomasino · 2nd 05:24 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Philip Tomasino · 3rd 15:59 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Gustav Nyquist · 3rd 19:59 · EN · 2–4
Poke shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
