PHI
3–2
CGY
Final · W
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 20-13-6
3–2
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 17-17-5
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
0922419342
CGY
0821006224
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
PHI 20-13-6 · CGY 17-17-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flyers beat the Flames
The Flyers earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 1.8, and a 3–2 win to show for it. The Flyers owned the 2nd period, 2.1 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 1.8, on 42 and 24 shots on goal.
PHI 3.8 xG · 42 shots
CGY 1.8 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
2.1 · 0.5
3rd
0.6 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonathan Huberdeau · 2nd 01:55 · 0–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (18%)
2
Morgan Frost · 2nd 04:15 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
3
MacKenzie Weegar · 2nd 09:13 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Sean Couturier · 2nd 16:06 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Travis Konecny · 3rd 02:27 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 80.
PHI 80%CGY 20%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonathan Huberdeau · 2nd 01:55 · 0–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (18%)
2
Morgan Frost · 2nd 04:15 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
3
MacKenzie Weegar · 2nd 09:13 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Sean Couturier · 2nd 16:06 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Travis Konecny · 3rd 02:27 · SH · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3
Blake Coleman, Andrew Mangiapane · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
39/42 saves · 3 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
