PHI
5–1
DAL
Final · W
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 25-14-6
5–1
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 26-13-5
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
114116313543
DAL
011806115
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
PHI 25-14-6 · DAL 26-13-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flyers beat the Stars
The Flyers earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 1.6, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Jake Oettinger allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 1.6, on 43 and 15 shots on goal.
PHI 3.3 xG · 43 shots
DAL 1.6 xG · 15 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.4
2nd
1.1 · 0.4
3rd
1.5 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sean Walker · 1st 19:00 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Owen Tippett · 2nd 03:03 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 12:42 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Cam Atkinson · 3rd 00:44 · 3–1 · bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
5
Scott Laughton · 3rd 09:16 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Owen Tippett · 3rd 14:30 · 5–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 78.
PHI 78%DAL 22%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sean Walker · 1st 19:00 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Owen Tippett · 2nd 03:03 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 12:42 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Cam Atkinson · 3rd 00:44 · PP · 3–1
Bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
5
Scott Laughton · 3rd 09:16 · PS · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Owen Tippett · 3rd 14:30 · 5–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/15 saves · 1 GA · 1.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
38/43 saves · 5 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
