PHI
4–7
COL
Final · L
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 25-15-6
4–7
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 30-14-3
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
012211217440
COL
25310210725
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
PHI 25-15-6 · COL 30-14-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flyers fell to the Avalanche
The Flyers created the better chances (3.1 to 2.5 expected goals) — and lost 4–7. Carter Hart allowed 3.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.5, on 40 and 25 shots on goal.
PHI 3.1 xG · 40 shots
COL 2.5 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.7
2nd
0.7 · 0.6
3rd
1.3 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Logan O'Connor · 1st 09:58 · 0–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 18:36 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 00:43 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Joel Farabee · 2nd 01:49 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Logan O'Connor · 2nd 08:14 · 1–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Travis Konecny · 2nd 12:23 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 17:05 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
8
Tyson Foerster · 3rd 05:26 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Cam Atkinson · 3rd 08:11 · 4–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
10
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 12:23 · 4–6 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (73%)
11
Logan O'Connor · 3rd 19:39 · 4–7 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 60.
PHI 60%COL 40%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Logan O'Connor · 1st 09:58 · 0–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 18:36 · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 00:43 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Joel Farabee · 2nd 01:49 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Logan O'Connor · 2nd 08:14 · 1–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Travis Konecny · 2nd 12:23 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 17:05 · GWG · 2–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
8
Tyson Foerster · 3rd 05:26 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Cam Atkinson · 3rd 08:11 · 4–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
10
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 12:23 · PP · 4–6
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (73%)
11
Logan O'Connor · 3rd 19:39 · EN · 4–7
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
10/15 saves · 5 GA · 1.3 xGA
Allowed 3.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
8/9 saves · 1 GA · 1.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
