Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 25-16-6
3–5
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 17-24-1
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
281908325
OTT
08212314534
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–2
PHI 25-16-6 · OTT 17-24-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–2
Flyers fell to the Senators
The Flyers let a 2–0 lead get away: the Senators came back with five unanswered goals — Giroux's equalizer — and won 3–5. Mads Sogaard allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 1.3, on 34 and 25 shots on goal.
PHI 1.3 xG · 25 shots
OTT 3.5 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.3 · 0.5
2nd
0.5 · 1.5
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Egor Zamula · 1st 11:57 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Egor Zamula · 1st 16:40 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Zack MacEwen · 2nd 04:04 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Joel Farabee · 2nd 10:50 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Tim Stützle · 2nd 11:45 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (46%)
6
Claude Giroux · 3rd 03:19 · 3–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (31%)
7
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 15:07 · 3–4 · snap shot off the rush, a good chance (15%)
8
Tim Stützle · 3rd 18:37 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 16.
PHI 16%OTT 84%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Egor Zamula · 1st 11:57 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Egor Zamula · 1st 16:40 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Zack MacEwen · 2nd 04:04 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Joel Farabee · 2nd 10:50 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Tim Stützle · 2nd 11:45 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (46%)
6
Claude Giroux · 3rd 03:19 · 3–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (31%)
7
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 15:07 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot off the rush, a good chance (15%)
8
Tim Stützle · 3rd 18:37 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 1.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.