PHI
3–6
TBL
Final · L
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 25-17-6
3–6
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 25-18-5
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
07214111332
TBL
252828621
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–1
PHI 25-17-6 · TBL 25-18-5 · First meeting this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–1
Flyers fell to the Lightning
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.2 expected goals); the Flyers lost 3–6. Samuel Ersson allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.2, on 32 and 21 shots on goal.
PHI 2.4 xG · 32 shots
TBL 2.2 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.4
2nd
0.9 · 1.1
3rd
1.1 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brayden Point · 1st 01:46 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 18:45 · 0–2 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 02:24 · 0–3 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Cam Atkinson · 2nd 09:56 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Jamie Drysdale · 2nd 14:04 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Michael Eyssimont · 2nd 17:42 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
7
Cam York · 3rd 00:42 · 3–4 · bat shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 19:00 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 19:49 · 3–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 55.
PHI 55%TBL 45%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brayden Point · 1st 01:46 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 18:45 · 0–2
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 02:24 · PP · 0–3
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Cam Atkinson · 2nd 09:56 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Jamie Drysdale · 2nd 14:04 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Michael Eyssimont · 2nd 17:42 · PP · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
7
Cam York · 3rd 00:42 · 3–4
Bat shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 19:00 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 19:49 · EN · 3–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
15/19 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
