Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 25-19-6
2–6
FinalL
Boston Bruins
BOS · 31-9-9
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
012115110237
BOS
4141519628
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–1
PHI 25-19-6 · BOS 31-9-9 · First meeting this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–1
Flyers fell to the Bruins
The Flyers were outchanced (4.0 to 3.2 expected goals) and lost 2–6. Samuel Ersson allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Bruins created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 3.2, on 28 and 37 shots on goal.
PHI 3.2 xG · 37 shots
BOS 4.0 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.7 · 1.7
2nd
1.0 · 1.1
3rd
1.6 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
David Pastrnak · 1st 14:09 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Charlie McAvoy · 1st 15:46 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Danton Heinen · 1st 16:47 · 0–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (24%)
4
David Pastrnak · 1st 18:23 · 0–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
5
James van Riemsdyk · 2nd 01:15 · 0–5 · snap shot, a great chance (38%)
6
Tyson Foerster · 2nd 15:23 · 1–5 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Tyson Foerster · 3rd 11:24 · 2–5 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Charlie Coyle · 3rd 14:45 · 2–6 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 39.
PHI 39%BOS 61%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
David Pastrnak · 1st 14:09 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Charlie McAvoy · 1st 15:46 · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Danton Heinen · 1st 16:47 · GWG · 0–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (24%)
4
David Pastrnak · 1st 18:23 · 0–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
5
James van Riemsdyk · 2nd 01:15 · 0–5
Snap shot, a great chance (38%)
6
Tyson Foerster · 2nd 15:23 · 1–5
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Tyson Foerster · 3rd 11:24 · 2–5
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Charlie Coyle · 3rd 14:45 · 2–6
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
10/14 saves · 4 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
12/14 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.