PHI
6–2
TBL
Final · W
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 31-22-7
6–2
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 32-24-5
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
1808515631
TBL
0511116222
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
PHI 31-22-7 · TBL 32-24-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flyers beat the Lightning
The Flyers were outchanced (2.5 to 1.1 expected goals) but won 6–2 anyway. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 1.1, on 22 and 31 shots on goal.
PHI 1.1 xG · 31 shots
TBL 2.5 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 0.6
2nd
0.2 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bobby Brink · 1st 02:22 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Nick Paul · 2nd 04:35 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Tyson Foerster · 3rd 00:54 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Travis Sanheim · 3rd 03:08 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Sean Walker · 3rd 06:55 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 14:34 · 4–2 · slap shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
7
Noah Cates · 3rd 15:22 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
8
Cam York · 3rd 17:41 · 6–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 24.
PHI 24%TBL 76%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bobby Brink · 1st 02:22 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Nick Paul · 2nd 04:35 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Tyson Foerster · 3rd 00:54 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Travis Sanheim · 3rd 03:08 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Sean Walker · 3rd 06:55 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 14:34 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–2
Slap shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
7
Noah Cates · 3rd 15:22 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
8
Cam York · 3rd 17:41 · EN · 6–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 1.1 xGA
Allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
