PHI
4–2
OTT
Final · W
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 32-23-7
4–2
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 25-31-3
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
11921714440
OTT
0411418226
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 1–2
PHI 32-23-7 · OTT 25-31-3 · Meeting 3 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 1–2
Flyers beat the Senators
Chances were even (3.0 to 2.7 expected goals); the Flyers won 4–2. The Senators owned the 3rd period, 1.3 to 0.2 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 2.7, on 40 and 26 shots on goal.
PHI 3.0 xG · 40 shots
OTT 2.7 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.4
2nd
1.4 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
0.2 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Joel Farabee · 1st 01:08 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 04:04 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Tyson Foerster · 2nd 19:13 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Tyson Foerster · 2nd 19:58 · 3–1 · snap shot, a great chance (38%)
5
Thomas Chabot · 3rd 18:02 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Cam York · 3rd 19:59 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 54.
PHI 54%OTT 46%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Joel Farabee · 1st 01:08 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 04:04 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Tyson Foerster · 2nd 19:13 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Tyson Foerster · 2nd 19:58 · PS · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a great chance (38%)
5
Thomas Chabot · 3rd 18:02 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Cam York · 3rd 19:59 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
36/39 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
