Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 34-25-8
2–6
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 38-19-8
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
0121917228
TOR
3120738627
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–2
PHI 34-25-8 · TOR 38-19-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 0–2
Flyers fell to the Maple Leafs
The Flyers were outchanced (3.5 to 2.3 expected goals) and lost 2–6. Samuel Ersson allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.3, on 27 and 28 shots on goal.
PHI 2.3 xG · 28 shots
TOR 3.5 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.7 · 1.6
2nd
1.1 · 1.0
3rd
0.5 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Bertuzzi · 1st 02:01 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Pontus Holmberg · 1st 09:57 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Timothy Liljegren · 1st 15:39 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Owen Tippett · 2nd 01:42 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Auston Matthews · 3rd 04:45 · 1–4 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
William Nylander · 3rd 04:53 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Matthew Knies · 3rd 09:00 · 1–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Tyson Foerster · 3rd 18:28 · 2–6 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 30.
PHI 30%TOR 70%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Bertuzzi · 1st 02:01 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Pontus Holmberg · 1st 09:57 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Timothy Liljegren · 1st 15:39 · GWG · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Owen Tippett · 2nd 01:42 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Auston Matthews · 3rd 04:45 · 1–4
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
William Nylander · 3rd 04:53 · 1–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Matthew Knies · 3rd 09:00 · 1–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Tyson Foerster · 3rd 18:28 · SH · 2–6
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Pontus Holmberg, Ilya Lyubushkin · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–4
No penalties
Goaltending
12/15 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
9/12 saves · 3 GA · 1.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.