PHI
4–3
TOR
Final · W
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 35-26-8
4–3
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 38-20-9
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
1821517430
TOR
07011312330
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 1–2
PHI 35-26-8 · TOR 38-20-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 1–2
Flyers beat the Maple Leafs
The Flyers were outchanced (3.2 to 2.3 expected goals) but won 4–3 anyway. Ilya Samsonov allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.3, on 30 and 30 shots on goal.
PHI 2.3 xG · 30 shots
TOR 3.2 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.4
2nd
1.2 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Owen Tippett · 1st 00:19 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Travis Sanheim · 2nd 00:56 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Morgan Frost · 2nd 16:26 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 3rd 01:11 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Tyler Bertuzzi · 3rd 10:16 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Scott Laughton · 3rd 13:00 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
7
John Tavares · 3rd 17:50 · 4–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 35.
PHI 35%TOR 65%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Owen Tippett · 1st 00:19 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Travis Sanheim · 2nd 00:56 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Morgan Frost · 2nd 16:26 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 3rd 01:11 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Tyler Bertuzzi · 3rd 10:16 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Scott Laughton · 3rd 13:00 · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
7
John Tavares · 3rd 17:50 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
