PHI
3–4
NYI
Final / OT · L
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 36-29-11
3–4
Final / OTL
New York Islanders
NYI · 32-27-15
1ST2ND3RDOTT
PHI
1111312000334
NYI
261170311427
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 1–2
PHI 36-29-11 · NYI 32-27-15 · Meeting 3 this season — the Flyers trail the season series 1–2
Flyers fell to the Islanders
Chances were even (2.3 to 1.9 expected goals); the Flyers lost it in overtime on Nelson's goal. Samuel Ersson allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 1.9, on 34 and 27 shots on goal.
PHI 2.3 xG · 34 shots
NYI 1.9 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.3 · 0.3
2nd
0.4 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
1.6 · 0.3
OT
0.0 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Noah Cates · 1st 04:57 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Matt Martin · 1st 12:03 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Bo Horvat · 1st 12:21 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Travis Sanheim · 2nd 00:43 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Anders Lee · 2nd 17:54 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Morgan Frost · 3rd 19:50 · 3–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
7
Brock Nelson · OT 01:24 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 58.
PHI 58%NYI 42%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Noah Cates · 1st 04:57 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Matt Martin · 1st 12:03 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Bo Horvat · 1st 12:21 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Travis Sanheim · 2nd 00:43 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Anders Lee · 2nd 17:54 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Morgan Frost · 3rd 19:50 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
7
Brock Nelson · OT 01:24 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 1.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
4/6 saves · 2 GA · 0.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
