PHI
7–5
MIN
Final · W
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 2-5-1
7–5
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 5-1-2
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI
2313417723
MIN
0731425526
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flyers lead the season series 1–0
PHI 2-5-1 · MIN 5-1-2 · First meeting this season — the Flyers lead the season series 1–0
Flyers beat the Wild
The Flyers were outchanced (3.3 to 2.6 expected goals) but won 7–5 anyway. Ristolainen's winner came with 2:24 left. Filip Gustavsson allowed 3.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.6, on 26 and 23 shots on goal.
PHI 2.6 xG · 23 shots
MIN 3.3 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 2.1
3rd
1.8 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sean Couturier · 1st 01:18 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
2
Nick Seeler · 1st 03:51 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Brock Faber · 2nd 14:54 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Marcus Foligno · 2nd 15:27 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Matvei Michkov · 2nd 18:16 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 19:56 · 3–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Marcus Foligno · 3rd 02:18 · 3–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Travis Konecny · 3rd 04:55 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Sean Couturier · 3rd 08:26 · 5–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
10
Jake Middleton · 3rd 13:28 · 5–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
11
Rasmus Ristolainen · 3rd 17:36 · 6–5 · backhand shot, a great chance (45%)
12
Sean Couturier · 3rd 19:00 · 7–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flyers win 40.
PHI 40%MIN 60%
Goals and penalties
12 goals · 0 penalties← Flyers shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sean Couturier · 1st 01:18 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
2
Nick Seeler · 1st 03:51 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Brock Faber · 2nd 14:54 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Marcus Foligno · 2nd 15:27 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Matvei Michkov · 2nd 18:16 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 19:56 · PP · 3–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Marcus Foligno · 3rd 02:18 · 3–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Travis Konecny · 3rd 04:55 · PP · 4–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Sean Couturier · 3rd 08:26 · 5–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
10
Jake Middleton · 3rd 13:28 · 5–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
11
Rasmus Ristolainen · 3rd 17:36 · GWG · 6–5
Backhand shot, a great chance (45%)
12
Sean Couturier · 3rd 19:00 · EN · 7–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
6
Kirill Kaprizov, Matt Boldy · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3–3
3rd period
9
Travis Konecny, Nick Seeler · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5–4
No penalties
Goaltending
21/26 saves · 5 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
16/22 saves · 6 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 3.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
